Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.566098 20.449450 23.605889 27.310796 31.533063 36.187561 41.699470
2024-10-27 11.963426 15.658414 20.134815 25.924305 33.177381 41.924052 53.226859
2024-11-03 9.911873 14.204312 19.823766 27.641336 38.143884 51.661324 70.252708
2024-11-10 8.725108 13.475505 20.101785 29.878626 43.764132 62.573195 89.725062
2024-11-17 7.307014 12.086956 19.150340 30.137942 46.532685 69.760921 104.734117
2024-11-24 6.062302 10.691587 17.907906 29.690875 48.077466 75.200218 117.597842
2024-12-01 4.996697 9.367775 16.535364 28.782909 48.705712 79.206280 128.545666
2024-12-08 4.298076 8.523723 15.780476 28.700636 50.515463 85.033494 142.586797
2024-12-15 3.770537 7.883506 15.258488 28.899043 52.732883 91.599257 158.205866
2024-12-22 3.064524 6.782190 13.763082 27.206445 51.556689 92.533316 164.783948
2024-12-29 2.813069 6.523344 13.757713 28.152061 54.990364 101.302202 184.827361
2025-01-05 2.648147 6.412133 14.010015 29.586139 59.401363 112.030348 208.898376
2025-01-12 2.255681 5.771907 13.188960 28.977966 60.211845 116.923535 223.968292
2025-01-19 1.844252 5.011989 12.019909 27.553415 59.377946 118.913659 234.305958
2025-01-26 1.754920 4.992178 12.415677 29.375537 65.038772 133.242995 268.035035
2025-02-02 1.709036 5.070346 13.035645 31.740513 72.009634 150.564857 308.544815
2025-02-09 1.525800 4.757235 12.715945 32.014741 74.712493 159.934443 334.793441
2025-02-16 1.323636 4.347993 12.102711 31.542661 75.779027 166.166787 355.456736
2025-02-23 1.125765 3.903676 11.328068 30.583642 75.669762 170.002123 371.658217
2025-03-02 0.996851 3.631718 10.943578 30.496737 77.464299 177.826708 396.320015
2025-03-09 0.896581 3.424473 10.694617 30.706321 79.942090 187.244060 424.842379
2025-03-16 0.734605 2.975497 9.710676 28.918131 77.575585 186.177975 431.629810
2025-03-23 0.689077 2.909573 9.793571 29.917222 81.940341 199.986282 470.570389